Published on: 2026-04-14
Source: People’s Republic of China in Russian language –
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New York, April 14 /Sinhua/ — The International Monetary Fund (IMF) on Tuesday lowered the forecast for global GDP growth in 2026 to 3.1 percent, while maintaining the forecast for 2027 at the level of 3.2 percent. This is stated in the updated version of the IMF report “World Economic Outlook.”
The revised forecast indicates a slowdown in global economic growth, which in 2025 is estimated to be 3.4%. Before the conflict in the Middle East, forecasts for global GDP growth rates, constructed on a “bottom-up” principle, were 3.4% in 2026 and 3.2% in 2027.
Considering the complexity of making real-time forecasts based on a single set of conflict assumptions, the current version of the report presents a “reference forecast” instead of the traditional baseline. The forecast takes into account the impact of the war and assumes that it will be limited in duration, intensity, and scale, and the obstacles created by it will subside by mid-2026.
According to the reference forecast, global headline inflation is expected to rise to 4.4% in 2026 and fall to 3.7% in 2027. –0–
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